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US retail sales rose a solid 0.8 per cent last month

Nov 15, 2018 | 6:00 AM

WASHINGTON — U.S. retail sales rose at a healthy pace in October, though the gains were likely boosted by one-time factors such as hurricane recovery spending and higher gas prices.

Retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 0.8 per cent last month, following two months of slight declines, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Excluding gasoline sales, which were inflated by higher prices, sales climbed a still-solid 0.5 per cent.

The figures suggest that consumers are spending at a modest pace, fueled by steady job gains and mild wage increases. Americans lifted their spending over the summer and fall at the fastest six-month pace in four years. Yet business spending on machinery, computers and buildings barely increased in the July-September quarter, leaving consumers shouldering more of the burden of maintaining growth.

Some of October’s spending gain was likely boosted by the impact of Hurricane Florence in September and Hurricane Michael last month. The government said it could not measure the precise impact of the two storms. But auto sales rose 1.1 per cent in October, the most since March, as many Americans may have replaced cars destroyed by the hurricanes.

Home improvement and garden store sales increased 1 per cent, the most since May, likely boosted by storm-related home repairs and preparations. On Tuesday, Home Depot breezed past all expectations for its most recent quarter and raised its annual profit expectations.

Gasoline station sales jumped 3.5 per cent, the most in almost a year, largely because of rising prices at the pump. Yet prices have since declined and will likely continue to do so, as oil prices have fallen sharply this week. The average cost of a gallon of gas was $2.67 on Thursday, down from $2.89 a month earlier.

Nearly all types of retailers reported strong sales gains, a sign of consumer health. Clothing store sales rose 0.5 per cent and sales at general merchandise stores, which include big box retailers such as Walmart and Target, also increased 0.5 per cent. Electronic and appliance store sales rose 0.7 per cent.

Restaurants and bars posted a rare decline for the second month in a row, falling 0.2 per cent, following a sharper fall of 1.5 per cent in September.

Most analysts forecast economic growth will slow in the final three months of the year, to a roughly 2.5 per cent pace, after robust increases of 4.2 per cent in the second quarter and 3.5 per cent in the third.

Christopher Rugaber, The Associated Press